Vitesse 6-1 Ajax II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.43
Over 2.5
64%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.56
No
37%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.75
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.61
6+ Goals
16%
6.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.98
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
4%
14.25
X/1
13%
4.33
X/2
7%
10.35
X/X
9%
6.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
19.3
2/2
11%
7.43
2/X
9%
15.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.3 — our 13% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-1.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+1.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.9pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax II EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.47/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.93
-14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
27.2 Crosses 11.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Ajax II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.69 xG 1.73
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 3
323 Passes 243
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 19
37 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2025 Ajax II Ajax II 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
14.04.2025 Ajax II Ajax II 1-1 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
21.09.2024 Vitesse Vitesse 2-2 HT 1-2 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
6-1
AWAY Ajax II
3.90 xG 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
22 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
264 Passes 423
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
37 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Vitesse vs Ajax II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Vitesse ran out comfortable winners over Ajax II 6-1 in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 6 Apr 2026. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 64% and both teams to score was favoured at 63%.

On the day, Vitesse had 42% of the ball to Ajax II's 58%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 3.90 to 1.00.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ajax II lead the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitesse and 1.67 for Ajax II.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs Ajax II?

Vitesse 6-1 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Ajax II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 53%, draw 22%, Ajax II 25%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitesse), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vitesse) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
6 Apr 2026
13:15 Helmond Sport vs RKC Waalwijk Analysis →
15:30 Almere City vs Den Bosch Analysis →
17:45 Emmen vs MVV Maastricht Analysis →
17:45 ADO Den Haag vs FC Eindhoven Analysis →
17:45 FC Oss vs Utrecht II Analysis →
17:45 De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar II Analysis →