De Graafschap 5-0 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.14
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.32
No
41%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.16
2-3 Goals
36%
2.19
4-5 Goals
28%
2.3
6+ Goals
16%
4.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.58
1/2
6%
24.35
1/X
6%
12.05
X/1
11%
5.45
X/2
8%
7.68
X/X
8%
6.84
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
18.45
2/2
15%
4.37
2/X
7%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.45 — our 8% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+3.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
72%
-12.1pp
41%
BTTS No
28%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.72/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.42
-3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
23.8 Crosses 11.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME De Graafschap
4W-1D-1L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.92 xG 1.26
44% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
288 Passes 420
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2025 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-3 HT 0-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
21.02.2025 De Graafschap De Graafschap 5-1 HT 3-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
23.09.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-2 HT 0-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
29.03.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-1 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
23.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-0 HT 0-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
03.04.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-1 HT 0-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME De Graafschap
5-0
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
4.33 xG 0.47
62% Ball Possession 38%
28 Total Shots 6
16 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
428 Passes 245
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
39 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

De Graafschap ran out comfortable winners over AZ Alkmaar II 5-0 in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 6 Apr 2026. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 59%.

On the day, De Graafschap had 62% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 38%, shots finished 28-6, expected goals 4.33 to 0.47.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for De Graafschap and 1.33 for AZ Alkmaar II.

What was the final score of De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar II?

De Graafschap 5-0 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 51%, draw 21%, AZ Alkmaar II 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (De Graafschap) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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