AZ Alkmaar II vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar II v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar II vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
AZ Alkmaar II 1-3 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
De Graafschap saw off AZ Alkmaar II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had De Graafschap as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 56% of the ball to De Graafschap's 44%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.50 to 3.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 2.00 for De Graafschap.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs De Graafschap?
AZ Alkmaar II 1-3 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs De Graafschap?
Before kick-off our model rated an De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 33%, draw 23%, De Graafschap 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.