PSV II 3-0 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.45
2-3 Goals
35%
1.99
4-5 Goals
27%
2.49
6+ Goals
17%
5.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.98
1/2
8%
24.7
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
14%
5.61
X/2
8%
6.76
X/X
12%
6.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.1
2/2
18%
3.96
2/X
5%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.1pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.39/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.41
-9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
14.8 Crosses 15.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.72 xG 1.28
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
420 Passes 284
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2025 PSV II PSV II 2-4 HT 1-3 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
13.12.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-1 HT 1-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
15.01.2024 PSV II PSV II 2-2 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
01.09.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 1-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
20.01.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
12.09.2022 PSV II PSV II 3-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
3-0
AWAY Den Bosch
1.85 xG 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 10
281 Passes 289
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PSV II vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV II cruised past Den Bosch 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

On the day, PSV II had 49% of the ball to Den Bosch's 51%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.85 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for PSV II and 1.67 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Den Bosch?

PSV II 3-0 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split PSV II 43%, draw 23%, Den Bosch 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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