PSV II 2-4 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 31 Mar 2025

📅31/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.66
6+ Goals
14%
6.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.97
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
14%
5.49
X/2
12%
7.02
X/X
9%
5.81
2/1
6%
21.95
2/2
16%
4.33
2/X
10%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.1pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.36/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.51
-14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
14.4 Crosses 15.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.66 xG 1.19
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
383 Passes 287
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-1 HT 1-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
15.01.2024 PSV II PSV II 2-2 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
01.09.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 1-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
20.01.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
12.09.2022 PSV II PSV II 3-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
14.03.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-2 HT 1-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
2-4
AWAY Den Bosch
1.67 xG 1.32
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
568 Passes 257
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV II vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch saw off PSV II 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Den Bosch found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PSV II had 66% of the ball to Den Bosch's 34%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.67 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for PSV II and 1.50 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Den Bosch?

PSV II 2-4 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split PSV II 40%, draw 25%, Den Bosch 35%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSV II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSV II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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