Den Bosch 1-1 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Dec 2024

Den Bosch
1-1 HT 1-1
PSV II
📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Den Bosch vs PSV II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.54
6+ Goals
15%
6.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.39
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
10%
13.25
X/1
19%
4.7
X/2
8%
8.47
X/X
10%
6.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.55
2/2
12%
5.37
2/X
6%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.55 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Den Bosch v PSV II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.61/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.73
+18% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
20.0 Crosses 11.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Den Bosch vs PSV II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
3W-1D-2L
AWAY PSV II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 1.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
306 Passes 353
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.01.2024 PSV II PSV II 2-2 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
01.09.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 1-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
20.01.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
12.09.2022 PSV II PSV II 3-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
14.03.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-2 HT 1-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
16.08.2021 PSV II PSV II 0-1 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2

Den Bosch 1-1 PSV II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
1-1
AWAY PSV II
1.68 xG 0.97
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
264 Passes 413
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch and PSV II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Den Bosch at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Den Bosch had 42% of the ball to PSV II's 58%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.68 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Den Bosch had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Den Bosch and 1.50 for PSV II.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs PSV II?

Den Bosch 1-1 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 48%, draw 27%, PSV II 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Den Bosch), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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