De Graafschap 0-2 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
7.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.0
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
14%
5.12
X/2
8%
6.51
X/X
13%
5.63
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
18%
4.19
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.48/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.17
-6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
24.7 Crosses 19.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME De Graafschap
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cambuur
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 1.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
234 Passes 292
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
08.12.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-3 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
30.04.2021 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 0-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
19.11.2020 De Graafschap De Graafschap 0-2 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
09.08.2019 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
22.05.2019 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-0 HT 2-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME De Graafschap
0-2
AWAY Cambuur
0.48 xG 1.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
350 Passes 269
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH De Graafschap vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur saw off De Graafschap 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Cambuur found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, De Graafschap had 55% of the ball to Cambuur's 45%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.48 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for De Graafschap and 1.17 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of De Graafschap vs Cambuur?

De Graafschap 0-2 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 39%, draw 28%, Cambuur 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (De Graafschap) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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