FC Eindhoven 1-3 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Dec 2024

FC Eindhoven
1-3 HT 1-1
VVV-Venlo
📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

FC Eindhoven vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.57
2-3 Goals
34%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 34% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.35
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
18%
4.3
X/2
9%
8.94
X/X
9%
5.15
2/1
8%
23.4
2/2
14%
6.56
2/X
9%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Eindhoven v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.56/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.61
-5% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
22.4 Crosses 16.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3

FC Eindhoven vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
1W-2D-3L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.94 xG 0.91
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 Passes 339
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.02.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-2 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
10.11.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-2 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
14.04.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
16.12.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-2 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
11.03.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 4-0 HT 2-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
19.11.2021 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2

FC Eindhoven 1-3 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
1-3
AWAY VVV-Venlo
0.82 xG 0.68
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
386 Passes 321
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VVV-Venlo got the better of FC Eindhoven 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Eindhoven at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 53% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 47%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.82 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Eindhoven and 1.67 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs VVV-Venlo?

FC Eindhoven 1-3 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 43%, draw 26%, VVV-Venlo 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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