AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Dec 2024

AZ Alkmaar II
1-1 HT 1-0
Emmen
📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

AZ Alkmaar II vs Emmen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
7.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.8
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
22.55
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
9%
7.31
X/2
14%
4.86
X/X
11%
5.59
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
23%
2.72
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.55 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AZ Alkmaar II v Emmen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 50%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.28/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.15
+36% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
12.0 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2

AZ Alkmaar II vs Emmen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Emmen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
330 Passes 423
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.04.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-2 HT 1-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
27.10.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-1 HT 1-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
08.04.2022 Emmen Emmen 3-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
22.11.2021 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
18.07.2018 Emmen Emmen 3-2 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HAZ
09.03.2018 Emmen Emmen 0-2 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2

AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 Emmen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
1-1
AWAY Emmen
1.23 xG 2.34
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 16
289 Passes 366
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 47
5 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar II vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar II and Emmen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Emmen at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 44% of the ball to Emmen's 56%, shots finished 12-24, expected goals 1.23 to 2.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 1.67 for Emmen.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs Emmen?

AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 29%, draw 24%, Emmen 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Emmen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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