Roda 0-1 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.11
2-3 Goals
32%
1.93
4-5 Goals
30%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
6.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.51
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
13%
4.8
X/2
8%
7.95
X/X
14%
6.1
2/1
7%
20.85
2/2
17%
5.01
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.0pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +15%
1.54/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.79
-6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
17.8 Crosses 17.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Dordrecht
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.18 xG 1.08
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
376 Passes 300
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2024 Roda Roda 4-1 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
01.12.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
27.01.2023 Roda Roda 1-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
05.08.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-2 HT 0-2 Roda Roda HOL2
04.03.2022 Roda Roda 4-0 HT 2-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
03.12.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-5 HT 1-1 Roda Roda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
0-1
AWAY Dordrecht
0.97 xG 1.48
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
398 Passes 233
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 19
31 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roda vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht nicked a narrow win over Roda 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Roda at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roda had 61% of the ball to Dordrecht's 39%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 0.97 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Roda and 0.83 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Roda vs Dordrecht?

Roda 0-1 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Roda 42%, draw 26%, Dordrecht 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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