Excelsior 0-0 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.2
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.58
X/2
9%
9.54
X/X
11%
6.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
20.25
2/2
14%
6.08
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.25 — our 14% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.0pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +24%
2.19/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.48
+52% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.1 Crosses 13.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Volendam
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.46 xG 1.87
47% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
282 Passes 334
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2024 Excelsior Excelsior 4-0 HT 2-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
29.10.2023 Volendam Volendam 3-1 HT 0-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
28.05.2023 Volendam Volendam 3-2 HT 3-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
20.01.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 2-0 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
11.03.2022 Volendam Volendam 2-5 HT 1-4 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
20.08.2021 Excelsior Excelsior 1-1 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior
0-0
AWAY Volendam
0.87 xG 0.22
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
361 Passes 178
79% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Excelsior vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior and Volendam fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Excelsior at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior had 62% of the ball to Volendam's 38%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.87 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Excelsior and 1.50 for Volendam.

What was the final score of Excelsior vs Volendam?

Excelsior 0-0 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 49%, draw 24%, Volendam 28%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Excelsior) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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