AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 31 Mar 2025

📅31/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
14%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.01
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
15%
4.3
X/2
9%
10.65
X/X
11%
6.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.1
2/2
10%
7.92
2/X
7%
16.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.1 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.55/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.42
+35% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
10.2 Crosses 17.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Oss
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.37 xG 1.10
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
406 Passes 253
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
26.04.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-1 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
20.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
08.05.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
16.01.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 1-3 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
11.11.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 2-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
1-1
AWAY FC Oss
0.93 xG 1.03
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
431 Passes 214
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar II vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar II and FC Oss shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was AZ Alkmaar II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 63% of the ball to FC Oss's 37%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 0.93 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 1.17 for FC Oss.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs FC Oss?

AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 49%, draw 25%, FC Oss 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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