FC Oss 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.83
6+ Goals
13%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.23
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
12.2
X/1
12%
5.57
X/2
15%
6.24
X/X
9%
5.36
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
16%
3.8
2/X
5%
12.3
Value flag · 1/X at 12.2 — our 12% vs market 5.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.6pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +20%
1.29/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.62
-5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 82%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
21.8 Crosses 9.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.23
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
266 Passes 414
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-1 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
20.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
08.05.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
16.01.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 1-3 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
11.11.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 2-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
24.01.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 1-0 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
2-1
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.09 xG 1.01
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
258 Passes 428
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs AZ Alkmaar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Oss nicked a narrow win over AZ Alkmaar II 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day FC Oss made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Oss had 41% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 59%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.09 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Oss and 1.50 for AZ Alkmaar II.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs AZ Alkmaar II?

FC Oss 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Before kick-off our model rated an AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 35%, draw 26%, AZ Alkmaar II 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
25 Oct 2024
21:00 Vitesse vs PSV II Analysis →
21:00 Roda vs Ajax II Analysis →
21:00 Dordrecht vs Utrecht II Analysis →
21:00 Volendam vs FC Eindhoven Analysis →
21:00 ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap Analysis →
21:00 VVV-Venlo vs Den Bosch Analysis →