Vitesse 1-3 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.35
No
37%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.88
2-3 Goals
39%
2.17
4-5 Goals
29%
2.47
6+ Goals
14%
4.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.65
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
8%
12.15
X/1
13%
5.31
X/2
6%
7.53
X/X
10%
6.27
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.4
2/2
21%
4.29
2/X
7%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.4 — our 7% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
70%
-7.3pp
37%
BTTS No
30%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 33%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
1.35/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.53
-11% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
29.0 Crosses 13.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
1-3
AWAY PSV II
0.79 xG 1.05
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
434 Passes 277
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV II beat Vitesse 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Vitesse at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Vitesse had 59% of the ball to PSV II's 41%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.79 to 1.05.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs PSV II?

Vitesse 1-3 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 41%, draw 26%, PSV II 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vitesse) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitesse) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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