VVV-Venlo 1-2 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.07
1/2
6%
22.7
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
9%
6.47
X/2 EV+ ✗
22%
5.12
X/X
12%
5.72
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
15%
2.96
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · X/2 at 5.12 — our 22% vs market 15.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
33%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.28/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.94
-14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
21.5 Crosses 20.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Den Bosch
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.16 xG 1.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 Passes 301
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-3 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
20.10.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
10.03.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 4-0 HT 2-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
19.11.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-2 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
26.03.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
10.09.2021 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
1-2
AWAY Den Bosch
1.12 xG 0.41
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 5
312 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 19
36 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch nicked a narrow win over VVV-Venlo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Den Bosch as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 51% of the ball to Den Bosch's 49%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.12 to 0.41 — on chances, VVV-Venlo could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for VVV-Venlo and 0.83 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs Den Bosch?

VVV-Venlo 1-2 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated an Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 31%, draw 26%, Den Bosch 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Den Bosch), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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