Dordrecht 3-1 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.79
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.9
X/1
17%
3.79
X/2
6%
12.65
X/X
9%
6.77
2/1
8%
20.35
2/2
9%
9.18
2/X
6%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.3pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.29/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.57
-4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
34.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.9 Crosses 13.3
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Utrecht II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.24 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 312
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
15.09.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-3 HT 0-2 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
16.01.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
19.08.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-1 HT 2-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
21.01.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-4 HT 0-3 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
20.08.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-2 HT 2-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
3-1
AWAY Utrecht II
1.00 xG 1.27
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
360 Passes 380
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht beat Utrecht II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dordrecht as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dordrecht had 49% of the ball to Utrecht II's 51%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.00 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dordrecht and 1.17 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Utrecht II?

Dordrecht 3-1 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 55%, draw 24%, Utrecht II 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
25 Oct 2024
21:00 FC Oss vs AZ Alkmaar II Analysis →
21:00 Vitesse vs PSV II Analysis →
21:00 Roda vs Ajax II Analysis →
21:00 Volendam vs FC Eindhoven Analysis →
21:00 ADO Den Haag vs De Graafschap Analysis →
21:00 VVV-Venlo vs Den Bosch Analysis →