Roda vs Ajax II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roda v Ajax II — Team-Based Signals
Roda vs Ajax II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Ajax II
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-2
Roda
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Ajax II
HOL2
2-2
HT 1-1
Ajax II
HOL2
2-1
HT 0-0
Roda
HOL2
Roda 2-1 Ajax II — Actual Match Statistics
Roda nicked a narrow win over Ajax II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roda as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Roda had 53% of the ball to Ajax II's 47%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.69 to 0.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Roda's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roda and 1.17 for Ajax II.
What was the final score of Roda vs Ajax II?
Roda 2-1 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roda vs Ajax II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Roda 51%, draw 24%, Ajax II 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.