Volendam 4-1 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.57
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.64
6+ Goals
15%
6.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1.84
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.9
X/1
15%
3.98
X/2
14%
11.85
X/X
12%
6.97
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.45
2/2
11%
8.06
2/X
4%
16.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.45 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
62%
-17.6pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
2.03/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.51
+21% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
23.1 Crosses 14.4
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.74 xG 1.19
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
353 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2022 Volendam Volendam 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
06.08.2021 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-2 HT 1-2 Volendam Volendam HOL2
27.02.2021 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
01.11.2020 Volendam Volendam 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
06.12.2019 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-4 HT 0-2 Volendam Volendam HOL2
18.01.2019 Volendam Volendam 1-3 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
4-1
AWAY FC Eindhoven
2.00 xG 0.66
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
537 Passes 368
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Volendam vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam ran out comfortable winners over FC Eindhoven 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Volendam as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Volendam had 58% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 42%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.00 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Volendam and 1.50 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Volendam vs FC Eindhoven?

Volendam 4-1 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Volendam 45%, draw 25%, FC Eindhoven 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volendam), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Volendam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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