Utrecht II 1-1 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 10 May 2024

Utrecht II
1-1 HT 0-1
Dordrecht
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Utrecht II vs Dordrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.94
Over 2.5
59%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.25
No
41%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.95
2-3 Goals
42%
2.06
4-5 Goals
23%
2.58
6+ Goals
14%
5.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.83
1/2
5%
19.7
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
10%
9.26
X/2
13%
4.52
X/X
8%
6.38
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.19
2/X
7%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
22%
+19.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
78%
-19.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
76%
-16.3pp
41%
BTTS No
24%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht II v Dordrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 49%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +21%
1.09/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.00
-30% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +93%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
13.6 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Utrecht II vs Dordrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dordrecht
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.39 xG 1.09
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 Passes 296
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.09.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-3 HT 0-2 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
16.01.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
19.08.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-1 HT 2-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
21.01.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-4 HT 0-3 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
20.08.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-2 HT 2-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
02.03.2021 Utrecht II Utrecht II 3-1 HT 2-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2

Utrecht II 1-1 Dordrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
1-1
AWAY Dordrecht
1.54 xG 2.03
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 12
277 Passes 330
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht II and Dordrecht shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dordrecht at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Utrecht II had 47% of the ball to Dordrecht's 53%, shots finished 18-23, expected goals 1.54 to 2.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Utrecht II and 2.17 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs Dordrecht?

Utrecht II 1-1 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 32%, draw 24%, Dordrecht 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dordrecht), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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