Groningen 2-0 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 10 May 2024

Groningen
2-0 HT 1-0
Roda
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Groningen vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
19%
4.15
X/2
10%
9.0
X/X
10%
6.01
2/1
6%
20.65
2/2
10%
6.29
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.9pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Groningen v Roda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groningen EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
1.69/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.37
+4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.9 Crosses 15.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Groningen vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Groningen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Roda
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.46 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
368 Passes 265
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Roda Roda 0-0 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL2
15.04.2018 Groningen Groningen 2-1 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL
10.12.2017 Roda Roda 2-2 HT 2-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
25.10.2017 Roda Roda 3-1 HT 1-0 Groningen Groningen HOK
12.03.2017 Roda Roda 3-1 HT 1-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
09.12.2016 Groningen Groningen 2-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL

Groningen 2-0 Roda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groningen
2-0
AWAY Roda
2.09 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
301 Passes 239
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Groningen vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groningen got the better of Roda 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Groningen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Groningen had 54% of the ball to Roda's 46%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.09 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Groningen and 1.50 for Roda.

What was the final score of Groningen vs Roda?

Groningen 2-0 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groningen vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Groningen 51%, draw 22%, Roda 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Groningen), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Groningen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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