Ajax II vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax II v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
Ajax II vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-2
HT 2-2
Ajax II
HOL2
1-2
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-1
Ajax II
HOL2
2-1
HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
1-1
HT 1-0
Ajax II
HOL2
2-1
HT 1-1
Ajax II
HOL2
Ajax II 1-4 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar II cruised past Ajax II 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Ajax II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ajax II had 48% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 52%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.02 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ajax II and 2.00 for AZ Alkmaar II.
What was the final score of Ajax II vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Ajax II 1-4 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax II vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 42%, draw 26%, AZ Alkmaar II 33%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajax II) went the other way.