Willem II vs Telstar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Willem II v Telstar — Team-Based Signals
Willem II vs Telstar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-5
HT 0-2
Willem II
HOL2
0-0
HT 0-0
Willem II
HOL2
2-1
HT 1-0
Telstar
HOL2
4-0
HT 1-0
Telstar
HOL2
3-1
HT 2-0
Willem II
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Willem II
HOL2
Willem II 3-2 Telstar — Actual Match Statistics
Willem II nicked a narrow win over Telstar 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Willem II as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Willem II had 61% of the ball to Telstar's 39%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.86 to 1.12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Willem II and 1.00 for Telstar.
What was the final score of Willem II vs Telstar?
Willem II 3-2 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Willem II vs Telstar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Willem II 57%, draw 21%, Telstar 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.