Emmen 2-1 MVV Maastricht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 6 Apr 2026

📅06/04/2026 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.47
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.15
2-3 Goals
36%
2.06
4-5 Goals
27%
2.39
6+ Goals
14%
4.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.75
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
4%
15.2
X/1
23%
4.31
X/2
5%
12.3
X/X
7%
7.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
17.85
2/2
10%
8.55
2/X
7%
16.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.85 — our 14% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
63%
-1.2pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.4pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +20%
1.83/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.82
+0% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
418 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
24.4 Crosses 14.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY MVV Maastricht
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
381 Passes 350
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2025 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
28.03.2025 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-2 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
04.10.2024 Emmen Emmen 1-1 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
12.04.2024 Emmen Emmen 1-3 HT 1-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
06.11.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-1 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
17.12.2021 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 0-1 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
2-1
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.35 xG 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
312 Passes 221
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Emmen vs MVV Maastricht
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Emmen edged past MVV Maastricht 2-1 in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 6 Apr 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, Emmen had 57% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 43%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.35 to 1.33.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Emmen and 1.17 for MVV Maastricht.

What was the final score of Emmen vs MVV Maastricht?

Emmen 2-1 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs MVV Maastricht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Emmen 62%, draw 18%, MVV Maastricht 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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