Den Bosch vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Den Bosch v Almere City — Team-Based Signals
Den Bosch vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Almere City
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
Den Bosch
HOL2
2-0
HT 2-0
Den Bosch
HOL2
1-0
HT 1-0
Almere City
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
Den Bosch
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-1
Almere City
HOL2
Den Bosch 5-2 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics
Den Bosch swept aside Almere City 5-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Den Bosch as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Den Bosch had 57% of the ball to Almere City's 43%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 3.68 to 1.63.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almere City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Den Bosch and 1.50 for Almere City.
What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Almere City?
Den Bosch 5-2 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Almere City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 46%, draw 25%, Almere City 29%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Den Bosch), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.