PSV II 3-3 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.74
2-3 Goals
37%
2.16
4-5 Goals
29%
2.39
6+ Goals
12%
4.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.31
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
15%
5.03
X/2
6%
8.77
X/X
7%
7.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
18.25
2/2
9%
5.37
2/X
7%
13.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.25 — our 12% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
52%
+3.1pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.7pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -24%
1.72/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.35
+5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
423 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
17.5 Crosses 16.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Utrecht II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.31 xG 0.39
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
516 Passes 284
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.05.2025 PSV II PSV II 3-1 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
16.08.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-2 HT 0-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
22.04.2024 PSV II PSV II 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
01.12.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-0 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
13.03.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
17.11.2022 PSV II PSV II 2-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
3-3
AWAY Utrecht II
1.84 xG 3.56
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
354 Passes 268
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV II vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV II and Utrecht II couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. PSV II carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PSV II had 56% of the ball to Utrecht II's 44%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 1.84 to 3.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV II had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for PSV II and 0.33 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Utrecht II?

PSV II 3-3 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV II win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split PSV II 56%, draw 22%, Utrecht II 22%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSV II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSV II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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