Utrecht II 0-2 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.58
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
16%
6.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.2
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.85
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.69
X/2
12%
6.19
X/X
13%
5.92
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
14%
3.58
2/X
9%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.7pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 39%
-13% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.19/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.40
-36% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
14.7 Crosses 14.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY PSV II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 1.52
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 Passes 510
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2024 PSV II PSV II 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
01.12.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-0 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
13.03.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
17.11.2022 PSV II PSV II 2-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
14.02.2022 PSV II PSV II 0-2 HT 0-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
13.09.2021 Utrecht II Utrecht II 2-1 HT 1-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
0-2
AWAY PSV II
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV II got the better of Utrecht II 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and on the day PSV II made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utrecht II had 43% of the ball to PSV II's 57%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Utrecht II and 1.00 for PSV II.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs PSV II?

Utrecht II 0-2 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 38%, draw 27%, PSV II 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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