Den Bosch 6-0 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.96
6+ Goals
9%
8.88
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.36 — our 27% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.81
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
7%
12.35
X/1
14%
6.13
X/2
9%
5.56
X/X
13%
5.14
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
17%
3.32
2/X
6%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+6.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.2pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.27/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.67
-2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
15.8 Crosses 10.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
2W-3D-1L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.36 xG 1.09
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
294 Passes 398
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.02.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-0 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
11.12.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.02.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-1 HT 2-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
14.10.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
20.12.2021 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-3 HT 1-2 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.09.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-1 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
6-0
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
2.85 xG 0.51
44% Ball Possession 56%
22 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
301 Passes 404
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
26 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs AZ Alkmaar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch swept aside AZ Alkmaar II 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Den Bosch as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Den Bosch had 44% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 56%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.85 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Den Bosch had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Den Bosch and 1.17 for AZ Alkmaar II.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Den Bosch 6-0 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 42%, draw 26%, AZ Alkmaar II 32%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Den Bosch) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✗ BTTS Yes
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