Excelsior vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Excelsior v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
Excelsior vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
3-1
HT 0-0
Excelsior
HOL2
1-1
HT 1-1
Excelsior
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
0-0
HT 0-0
Excelsior
HOL2
2-0
HT 0-0
De Graafschap
HOL
Excelsior 3-1 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
Excelsior saw off De Graafschap 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Excelsior had 45% of the ball to De Graafschap's 55%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.61 to 1.10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Excelsior and 1.00 for De Graafschap.
What was the final score of Excelsior vs De Graafschap?
Excelsior 3-1 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Excelsior vs De Graafschap?
Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 46%, draw 25%, De Graafschap 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.