PSV II 3-1 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.3
2-3 Goals
32%
2.11
4-5 Goals
30%
2.43
6+ Goals
17%
4.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.06
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
13%
4.66
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
7%
7.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
18.05
2/2
11%
6.58
2/X
6%
15.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.05 — our 11% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.9pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.55/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.46
-1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
16.5 Crosses 16.3
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Utrecht II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.54 xG 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
523 Passes 256
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-2 HT 0-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
22.04.2024 PSV II PSV II 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
01.12.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-0 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
13.03.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
17.11.2022 PSV II PSV II 2-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
14.02.2022 PSV II PSV II 0-2 HT 0-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
3-1
AWAY Utrecht II
3.90 xG 0.35
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
506 Passes 265
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV II vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV II beat Utrecht II 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSV II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PSV II had 64% of the ball to Utrecht II's 36%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 3.90 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for PSV II and 0.50 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Utrecht II?

PSV II 3-1 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split PSV II 51%, draw 22%, Utrecht II 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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