VVV-Venlo 0-2 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.49
No
37%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.72
6+ Goals
15%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.69
1/2
7%
23.55
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
10%
6.13
X/2
12%
5.81
X/X
11%
5.85
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
20%
3.4
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
-0.4pp
37%
BTTS No
37%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.57/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.20
+3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.6 Crosses 21.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Willem II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.85 xG 1.10
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
377 Passes 398
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Willem II Willem II 2-0 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
17.11.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-3 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
27.05.2023 Willem II Willem II 2-2 HT 2-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
23.05.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-2 HT 2-2 Willem II Willem II HOL2
09.04.2023 Willem II Willem II 2-1 HT 1-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
11.11.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-0 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
0-2
AWAY Willem II
0.91 xG 2.44
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
506 Passes 309
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs Willem II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Willem II beat VVV-Venlo 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Willem II made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 60% of the ball to Willem II's 40%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.91 to 2.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.83 for Willem II.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs Willem II?

VVV-Venlo 0-2 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 34%, draw 27%, Willem II 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Willem II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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