Ajax II 1-3 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.66
No
39%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.66
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
14%
4.76
X/2
8%
7.64
X/X
10%
5.26
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.1
2/2
9%
5.49
2/X
9%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.5pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
1.49/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.17
-27% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
473 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
12.9 Crosses 17.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.39 xG 1.61
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
430 Passes 317
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2025 Ajax II Ajax II 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
24.08.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-3 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
23.12.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-2 HT 1-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
25.09.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
10.03.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 5-1 HT 2-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
06.01.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
1-3
AWAY FC Eindhoven
0.68 xG 2.23
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
505 Passes 260
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven saw off Ajax II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ajax II at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ajax II had 63% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 37%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.68 to 2.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ajax II and 1.83 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs FC Eindhoven?

Ajax II 1-3 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 50%, draw 27%, FC Eindhoven 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajax II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajax II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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