Kagoshima United 1-1 Sagan Tosu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 29 Apr 2026

Kagoshima United
1-1 HT 1-0
Sagan Tosu
📅29/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
JAP2-3 – 2026

Kagoshima United vs Sagan Tosu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kagoshima United v Sagan Tosu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 36%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-14% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 21.0
– Yellow Cards –

Kagoshima United vs Sagan Tosu Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sagan Tosu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
139 Passes 417
53% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.02.2026 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-1 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2-3

Kagoshima United 1-1 Sagan Tosu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
1-1
AWAY Sagan Tosu
24% Ball Possession 76%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
113 Passes 578
53% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Sagan Tosu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United and Sagan Tosu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 24% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 76%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Sagan Tosu?

Kagoshima United 1-1 Sagan Tosu in the JAP2-3 on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Sagan Tosu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 38%, draw 29%, Sagan Tosu 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kagoshima United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2-3 More JAP2-3
29 Apr 2026
07:00 Iwaki vs FC Gifu Analysis →
08:00 Oita Trinita vs Roasso Kumamoto Analysis →
08:00 MIO Biwako Shiga vs Gainare Tottori Analysis →
08:00 Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Giravanz Kitakyushu Analysis →
08:00 Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ryukyu Analysis →
08:00 Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata Analysis →