Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
0.99/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.01
-47% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.0 Crosses 11.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ryukyu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
367 Passes 215
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-1 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2-3
18.09.2022 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-1 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
12.03.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-3 HT 1-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
03.11.2021 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
06.03.2021 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-1 HT 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
08.11.2020 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
2-0
AWAY Ryukyu
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
242 Passes 298
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi beat Ryukyu 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Renofa Yamaguchi as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 45% of the ball to Ryukyu's 55%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ryukyu led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.17 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ryukyu?

Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 Ryukyu in the JAP2-3 on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 55%, draw 22%, Ryukyu 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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