Kataller Toyama 2-0 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
24%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.77
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
16.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
43%
+8.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
24%
Away Win
30%
-5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.77/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.68
+44% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +64%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.2 Crosses 10.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
19 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
201 Passes 440
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.03.2026 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-3 HT 0-3 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP2-3
19.07.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 3-4 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
2-0
AWAY Albirex Niigata
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama saw off Albirex Niigata 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kataller Toyama as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 54% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 46%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Kataller Toyama and 3.00 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?

Kataller Toyama 2-0 Albirex Niigata in the JAP2-3 on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 51%, draw 24%, Albirex Niigata 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kataller Toyama) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✗ BTTS Yes
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