Ryukyu 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+5.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 54%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
273 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
194 Passes 417
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.09.2022 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-1 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
12.03.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-3 HT 1-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
03.11.2021 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
06.03.2021 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-1 HT 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
08.11.2020 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
18.07.2020 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 4-1 HT 2-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
1-1
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
236 Passes 317
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu and Renofa Yamaguchi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Renofa Yamaguchi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ryukyu had 46% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 54%, shots finished 9-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ryukyu and 1.67 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Ryukyu 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi in the JAP2-3 on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 30%, draw 28%, Renofa Yamaguchi 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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