Parceiro Nagano 0-5 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
189 Passes 298
65% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.07.2025 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-0 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
14.05.2025 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
05.10.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
29.06.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
15.10.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
13.05.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-1 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
0-5
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 26
1 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
233 Passes 179
63% Pass Accuracy 62%
12 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga ran out comfortable winners over Parceiro Nagano 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Matsumoto Yamaga made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 55% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 45%, shots finished 6-26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 1.00 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Parceiro Nagano 0-5 Matsumoto Yamaga in the JAP2-3 on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 37%, draw 27%, Matsumoto Yamaga 36%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Parceiro Nagano), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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