Vegalta Sendai 3-1 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 22%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -63%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 8.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
3-1
AWAY Sagamihara
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 9
148 Passes 162
57% Pass Accuracy 58%
20 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai beat Sagamihara 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vegalta Sendai as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 48% of the ball to Sagamihara's 52%, shots finished 20-16.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs Sagamihara?

Vegalta Sendai 3-1 Sagamihara in the JAP2-3 on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 54%, draw 22%, Sagamihara 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vegalta Sendai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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