Omiya Ardija 1-2 Fujieda MYFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 14 Mar 2026

Omiya Ardija
1-2 HT 0-1
Fujieda MYFC
📅14/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
JAP2-3 – 2026

Omiya Ardija vs Fujieda MYFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.0
Over 2.5
62%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
2.03
No
42%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.46
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.1 — our 31% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
68%
-2.1pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.1pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
46%
-8.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
54%
+8.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
45%
+13.1pp
42%
BTTS No
55%
-13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Omiya Ardija v Fujieda MYFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 15%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+120% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
439 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
25.6 Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards –

Omiya Ardija vs Fujieda MYFC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
196 Passes 234
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.10.2025 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-0 HT 1-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
17.05.2025 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 0-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
22.10.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 2-3 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
11.06.2023 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-3 HT 1-3 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2

Omiya Ardija 1-2 Fujieda MYFC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
1-2
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
70% Ball Possession 30%
28 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
409 Passes 119
83% Pass Accuracy 56%
38 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Fujieda MYFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fujieda MYFC squeezed past Omiya Ardija 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Omiya Ardija at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 70% of the ball to Fujieda MYFC's 30%, shots finished 28-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Omiya Ardija and 1.25 for Fujieda MYFC.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Fujieda MYFC?

Omiya Ardija 1-2 Fujieda MYFC in the JAP2-3 on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Fujieda MYFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 66%, draw 18%, Fujieda MYFC 16%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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