Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.72 xG 1.58
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
285 Passes 342
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2025 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 5-1 HT 3-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP2
06.05.2025 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-4 HT 0-3 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
25.08.2024 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-2 HT 0-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
15.05.2024 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
18.06.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-3 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JLK
25.03.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-3 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
0-1
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
296 Passes 361
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
8 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo squeezed past Jubilo Iwata 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jubilo Iwata at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 45% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 55%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.83 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Consadole Sapporo?

Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Consadole Sapporo in the JAP2-3 on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 42%, draw 28%, Consadole Sapporo 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Jubilo Iwata), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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