Jubilo Iwata 5-1 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
9%
9.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 27% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.31/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.35
-4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.4 Crosses 16.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.63 xG 1.81
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
249 Passes 355
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2025 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-4 HT 0-3 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
25.08.2024 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-2 HT 0-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
15.05.2024 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
18.06.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-3 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JLK
25.03.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-3 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
11.09.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 4-0 HT 2-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
5-1
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
378 Passes 426
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata ran out comfortable winners over Consadole Sapporo 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jubilo Iwata as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 47% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 53%, shots finished 18-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Consadole Sapporo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 2.33 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Consadole Sapporo?

Jubilo Iwata 5-1 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J2 League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 44%, draw 25%, Consadole Sapporo 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jubilo Iwata), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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