Consadole Sapporo 2-4 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.07/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.14
-22% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.5 Crosses 25.1
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.65 xG 0.72
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
379 Passes 266
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2024 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-2 HT 0-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
15.05.2024 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
18.06.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-3 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JLK
25.03.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-3 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
11.09.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 4-0 HT 2-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
22.05.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-2 HT 1-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
2-4
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
352 Passes 231
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata beat Consadole Sapporo 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Consadole Sapporo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 57% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 43%, shots finished 17-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Consadole Sapporo had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 1.00 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Jubilo Iwata?

Consadole Sapporo 2-4 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J2 League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Consadole Sapporo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 41%, draw 27%, Jubilo Iwata 32%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Consadole Sapporo) ✗ Under 2.5
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