Montedio Yamagata 3-0 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.0
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.34/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.25
+4% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.2 Crosses 17.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Oita Trinita
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
426 Passes 317
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-3 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
09.06.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
29.07.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-1 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
17.05.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 5-0 HT 2-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
16.10.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-3 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
08.05.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-1 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
3-0
AWAY Oita Trinita
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
385 Passes 352
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata ran out comfortable winners over Oita Trinita 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Montedio Yamagata made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 52% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 48%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 0.17 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Oita Trinita?

Montedio Yamagata 3-0 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 39%, draw 29%, Oita Trinita 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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