Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 May 2025

Renofa Yamaguchi
1-2 HT 0-2
Mito HollyHock
📅06/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2025

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Mito HollyHock Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.59
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Renofa Yamaguchi v Mito HollyHock — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.18/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.32
-1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.7 Crosses 21.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.0

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Mito HollyHock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
176 Passes 465
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.06.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
21.04.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 HT 1-2 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
03.09.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 HT 1-2 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
07.06.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JPK
28.05.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-1 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
20.08.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2

Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 Mito HollyHock — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
1-2
AWAY Mito HollyHock
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 0
362 Passes 254
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock squeezed past Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Mito HollyHock found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 58% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 42%, shots finished 17-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.00 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Mito HollyHock?

Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J2 League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 35%, draw 29%, Mito HollyHock 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mito HollyHock) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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