Kataller Toyama 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 6 May 2025

Kataller Toyama
1-2 HT 1-0
V-Varen Nagasaki
📅06/05/2025 · 🕒07:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2025

Kataller Toyama vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.29
6+ Goals
12%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
+11.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-8.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kataller Toyama v V-Varen Nagasaki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 51%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +8%
1.60/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.09
+53% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
240 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.7 Crosses 38.0
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.3

Kataller Toyama vs V-Varen Nagasaki Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
1W-0D-0L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
The Meetings
28.06.2014 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2

Kataller Toyama 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
1-2
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
293 Passes 515
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
22 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki squeezed past Kataller Toyama 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day V-Varen Nagasaki made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 39% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 61%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Kataller Toyama 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 38%, draw 23%, V-Varen Nagasaki 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
6 May 2025
07:00 Vegalta Sendai vs Fujieda MYFC Analysis →
08:00 Consadole Sapporo vs Jubilo Iwata Analysis →
08:00 Montedio Yamagata vs Oita Trinita Analysis →
08:00 Renofa Yamaguchi vs Mito HollyHock Analysis →
09:00 Ehime FC vs Iwaki Analysis →
09:00 Blaublitz Akita vs Ventforet Kofu Analysis →