Ventforet Kofu 1-0 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 32% vs market 30.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.17/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.10
-2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.9 Crosses 14.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
450 Passes 246
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2025 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-0 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
29.10.2023 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 0-2 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
27.05.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 5-1 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
10.09.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-3 HT 0-2 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
09.04.2022 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-3 HT 1-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
18.09.2021 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1-0
AWAY Omiya Ardija
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
202 Passes 459
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu edged past Omiya Ardija 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Ventforet Kofu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 34% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 66%, shots finished 10-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ventforet Kofu had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 1.00 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Omiya Ardija?

Ventforet Kofu 1-0 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J2 League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 35%, draw 29%, Omiya Ardija 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
12 Jul 2025
12:00 Iwaki vs V-Varen Nagasaki Analysis →
12:00 Mito HollyHock vs Kataller Toyama Analysis →
12:00 Blaublitz Akita vs Roasso Kumamoto Analysis →
12:05 Imabari vs Ehime FC Analysis →
13:00 Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tokushima Vortis Analysis →
13:00 Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United Analysis →