Montedio Yamagata 0-1 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.61
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.12
6+ Goals
11%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.45/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.04
+24% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.2 Crosses 20.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
5W-0D-1L
AWAY JEF United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
412 Passes 265
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 JEF United JEF United 3-2 HT 2-2 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
10.11.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 4-0 HT 3-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
25.02.2024 JEF United JEF United 2-3 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
12.08.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
25.02.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-3 HT 1-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
18.09.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
0-1
AWAY JEF United
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
328 Passes 193
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United nicked a narrow win over Montedio Yamagata 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 38% — and on the day JEF United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 61% of the ball to JEF United's 39%, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 1.00 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United?

Montedio Yamagata 0-1 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 37%, draw 24%, JEF United 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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