Mito HollyHock 3-0 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 32% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.1pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
1.40/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.32
-19% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
268 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses 11.8
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
337 Passes 374
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.06.2025 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-1 HT 0-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
14.06.2014 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-3 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
3-0
AWAY Kataller Toyama
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
242 Passes 368
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock swept aside Kataller Toyama 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mito HollyHock as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 42% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 58%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mito HollyHock and 0.00 for Kataller Toyama.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Kataller Toyama?

Mito HollyHock 3-0 Kataller Toyama in the Japan - J2 League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 53%, draw 25%, Kataller Toyama 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mito HollyHock), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
12 Jul 2025
12:00 Iwaki vs V-Varen Nagasaki Analysis →
12:00 Blaublitz Akita vs Roasso Kumamoto Analysis →
12:05 Imabari vs Ehime FC Analysis →
12:30 Ventforet Kofu vs Omiya Ardija Analysis →
13:00 Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tokushima Vortis Analysis →
13:00 Montedio Yamagata vs JEF United Analysis →