Iwaki 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 50%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
1.20/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.29
+7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
293 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.3 Crosses 23.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
1W-1D-3L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
244 Passes 268
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.04.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 3-4 HT 1-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
15.09.2024 Iwaki Iwaki 0-2 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
26.06.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 3-1 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
06.08.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
29.04.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 0-1 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
1-1
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki and V-Varen Nagasaki couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Iwaki had 54% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 46%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Iwaki and 1.80 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Iwaki 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 31%, draw 29%, V-Varen Nagasaki 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✓ BTTS Yes
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