Irtysh Pavlodar 1-2 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.85
No
62%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
50%
-12.0pp
62%
BTTS No
50%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irtysh Pavlodar EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irtysh Pavlodar
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
20.03.2026 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 2-2 HT 0-0 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar KAZP
14.03.2020 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 1-1 HT 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
14.05.2014 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 3-1 HT 2-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZKK
POST-MATCH Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyzyl-Zhar nicked a narrow win over Irtysh Pavlodar 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Kyzyl-Zhar found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Irtysh Pavlodar had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Irtysh Pavlodar and 1.33 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Irtysh Pavlodar 1-2 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Cup on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irtysh Pavlodar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Irtysh Pavlodar 40%, draw 26%, Kyzyl-Zhar 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Irtysh Pavlodar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZKK More Kazakistan - Cup
29 Apr 2026
12:00 Okzhetpes vs Zhenys Analysis →
14:00 Atyrau vs Zhetysu Analysis →
16:00 FC Astana vs Tobol Analysis →
18:00 Kaisar vs Kairat Analysis →