FC Astana vs Tobol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Astana v Tobol — Team-Based Signals
FC Astana vs Tobol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tobol squeezed past FC Astana 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was FC Astana at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Astana and 1.50 for Tobol.
What was the final score of FC Astana vs Tobol?
FC Astana 1-2 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Cup on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Tobol?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 47%, draw 25%, Tobol 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Astana) went the other way.